To be the political leader of an imperialist power that has
attacked a number of Muslim countries in the past decade, it takes a certain,
how can one put it, chutzpah, to say:
"I don't just want London to
be a great capital of Islamic finance in the Western world, I want London to
stand alongside Dubai as one of the great capitals of Islamic finance anywhere
in the world."
Yet that was British Prime Minister Cameron, talking to the
World Islamic Economic Forum in London on Tuesday. Part of the plan is for the
UK Treasury to launch an 'Islamic bond' worth £200m next year, presented as the
first Islamic bond issued outside the Muslim world.
One UK financial lobby group
report
suggests that 'global Islamic finance assets' - namely those which are 'Sharia
compliant' - already amount to some $1.5 trillion and are growing fast. Hence
the UK wants some of the action. There are 22 Islamic banks in the UK, more
than in all other western countries combined. The UK government has even
established an Islamic Finance Task Force, but this one is not weaponised.
The contradiction between Britain's foreign policy and its
financial policy is only apparent. Despite the invasions of Afghanistan and
Iraq, and the bombing of Libya, not to mention other covert interventions,
Britain is not anti-Islam or anti-Muslim. It just wants to see its interests
protected. It has no problem backing jihadist rebels if they will serve that
policy, as in Syria, just as it supported the Moslem Brotherhood against the
nationalist threat from Nasser in Egypt from the late 1950s. Today British
imperialism steadfastly supports Sunni elites throughout the Middle East, and
most of the families were put in place by British policy. Further afield, in
Brunei, 1000 British army Gurkhas are also paid for by the Sultan to back his
'security' - and the interests of Royal Dutch Shell plc. Brunei is not a big place,
so if you had some doubts about the wisdom of the autocracy you would think
twice about expressing it with these guys coming at you.
However, to return to the financial issues. Cameron's Sharia
bond is planned as a sign that the City is 'open for business', to use Bank of
England governor Carney's phrase (see below). The size of the planned bond
issue is minuscule in terms of state finance, but it will show that the City is
willing to do whatever is necessary to attract business from this previously
untapped area. It will encourage other financial activity and it will give
enterprising specialists in Islam a profitable role as arbiters of what is
Sharia-compliant. From the City's perspective, dealing spreads can be
important, not just interest rate returns. In any case, it will not be
difficult to transform interest remuneration into something that does not look like
interest and so be Sharia-compliant. Best of all, Britain's lack of capital
controls will make it easy for rich foreign investors to put money in, and take
it out, while there will be little fear of political moves against them. Well,
perhaps less confidence these days, since Assad's wife no longer shops at
Harrods and the Gaddafi family no longer have a residence in Hampstead.
Details of Cameron's bond are to be finalised, but early
reports suggest that coupon payments will be based on rentals from government
property. Will the rentals come from chemical weapons plants, MoD buildings,
GCHQ, MI5/6, US bases in Britain or the leased bases around the world? That can
be sorted out later, and the result will no doubt be deemed 'ethical' and
compliant.
Two other issues are worthy of note related to imperial
finance, but not to Islamic finance. The connection is that these two and the
previous discussion all relate to a desperate attempt by the British state to
boost the scale of financial dealing, with all the opportunities this offers
for skimming off more surplus value from the rest of the world. My previous
note (see this blog, 22 October 2013), showed that the balance of payments
flows are worsening for the UK so, as one might expect, the focus of British
policy now is on how to leverage what the Brits are best at in order to get
more revenues in the future. No, not by marketing self-deprecating humour in
BBC video exports, but by increasing financial deals to make money from other
people's money.
The first is Britain's attempt to build on its already
prominent role in the offshore trading of China's currency, the renminbi. It
took a while before the People's Bank of China gave the Bank of England the
currency swap line it wanted. It was delayed until June this year and was CNY
200bn, embarrassingly less than the CNY 350bn agreed with the European Central
Bank in October. This may have been aimed to cast a deliberate shadow over the
status of the City of London, although the swap is for sterling versus CNY not
for the much larger euro currency. As if to ward off any further problems, the UK
Treasury went out of its way to make it easier for Chinese banks to set up in
London in October, lifting regulatory hurdles and risking annoyance from the
Americans, together with embracing a pan-European visa deal - for Chinese
tourists only.
Outside China and Hong Kong, the City already manages some
60% of offshore trading in China's currency, with the US at just 15% and France
at 10%. In October, the UK Treasury announced the opening up of direct trading of
China's currency with sterling and that it had gained a (small) quota for
accessing Chinese equities and bonds. These factors will increase the potential
for City dealing, at least until China changes its mind.
The second is the latest policy change from the new Bank of
England governor, Mark Carney. The theme of a keynote speech to a Financial
Times anniversary event last Friday was that London was 'open for
business'. So he introduced policies to boost the volume
of financial dealing. He envisaged bank assets in the UK growing from some 4
times GDP at present to more like 9 (!) times by 2050. Then, in a squaring of
the circle that was a wonder to behold, he argued this could be done with lower
costs for private banks getting central bank aid while at the same time making
the overall system more secure.
I am not one to make ad hominem comments, for example
noting that he, like Mario Draghi of the European Central Bank, is an alumnus
of Goldman Sachs. This is because, despite him being Canadian, and despite him
being in the job only since July, last week he showed that he had the best
interests of British imperialism at heart. This, together with the Sharia bond
and China policies already discussed, is the clearest sign that the British
ruling class knows how to adopt and to bring on board whomever and whatever
policies look like having some upside in these difficult times.
Tony Norfield, 30 October 2013