A review of my new book and a discussion of some themes in it have recently appeared on two Marxist blogs. I would also recommend these blogs to readers of this one: the Michael Roberts blog and Redline: Contemporary Marxist Analysis.
Tony Norfield, 1 March 2016
Tuesday, 1 March 2016
Saturday, 20 February 2016
The Brexit Vote
The confusion of the left on the
question of the European Union was shown by an event at my alma mater,
the School of Oriental and African Studies, London University, on 16 February.
It also revealed a more general absence of critical faculties among many of
those who do not like the way the world works today. Tariq Ali was promoting
his latest book, The Extreme centre: A Warning. He made the standard
complaints about the lack of any political alternative to ‘neoliberal’ politics
in most major countries, and he also tied this theme into the question of the
vote on Britain’s membership of the EU (now set to be on 23 June 2016). I have
not read his book, but based upon what he said in his presentation, I would
make the following comments, ones that also set out how to understand the
forthcoming UK vote on EU membership.
Firstly, as an old hand at these
events, it was surprising that Tariq Ali did not reflect upon the lack of any
widespread opposition to what he calls the ‘neoliberal extreme centre’. He did
hope that the rise of Jeremy Corbyn to the lofty pinnacle of the British Labour
Party leadership showed that the Labour Party was not actually dead, and he
also cast a positive gloss on the popularity of the Scottish National Party as
a sign of some popular opposition. My problem with this searching in the
dustbin for a gem is that it does not understand that much UK public opinion is
welfare-nationalist at best – ‘save our NHS’ – or that any materialist analysis
would have to draw the conclusion that this opinion is because the mass of
people see that this is where their immediate economic interests lie. A prime
piece of evidence for my perspective is that half the British public voted for
the Conservatives or UKIP in the 2015 general election, while the Labour Party
had ‘controls on immigration’ as one of the policy demands carved into the
infamous stone monolith of Ed Miliband, the former Labour leader. Instead,
Tariq Ali gave credence to the implausible notion that the British media are
responsible for right wing opinions.
Secondly, Tariq Ali made a
telling point, almost as a confession. He had formerly been in favour of
Britain’s membership of the EU, but now he had grave doubts. There seemed to be
two connected reasons: what ‘EU policy’ had done to Greece, Spain and other
countries was unacceptable, and the EU-driven policy was a machine for
implementing the wider policies of financial capital, not those of the mass of
people. Just consider what this position amounts to. It identifies a policy
driven by the EU as the problem, not recognising that it results from
capitalists in each country trying to restore their viability in the global
market, still more that it is one that the richer countries are imposing on the
poorer in order to get some of their money – bank loans, etc – back. So, it
becomes a policy decision that progressive forces could change, not one that is
inevitable unless the market logic of capitalism is overturned. It is not a
question of ‘the EU’ demanding nasty policies; these are the consequence of the
crisis that these economies face. The ECB, EU Commission, etc, are the
messengers, and the message is that your economies are uncompetitive in the
world market!
Thirdly, the political confusion
of Tariq Ali, and many others, on the question of the EU is based on accepting
the alternatives such a vote gives the electorate. There will be a ‘Yes’ or
‘No’ answer to leaving/staying in the European Union. But the terms of the
debate are already set. Each side is based on what is best for Britain:
whether to stay in a ‘reformed’ (on capitalist terms) EU, although the changes
are minimal, and so keep the UK’s global bargaining power, or whether the UK
should strike out on its own into what might be a more enticing, faster
growing, wider world. The debate only reflects an anxiety of the British ruling
class since at least 1945: what to do about a Europe in which the UK could only
realistically play a manipulative, tactical role, when it is a minor country
with much wider global interests. I have covered these issues previously on
this blog (see, for example, here). There is no
basis upon which the Stay or Leave vote could be construed as being in favour
of something else, anti-capitalist, given the lack of any progressive
alternative in the UK. For this reason, I will not be voting Yes/No on
which is the best way to save British capitalism.[1]
Tariq Ali’s confusion also goes
further. In the SOAS meeting he noted that there was a political problem of
many of Europe’s right wing parties – for example, the Front National in France
– being in favour of welfare spending. ‘And so are we!’ Well, the
unacknowledged problem comes down to the fact that western welfare spending is
based upon the privileges that rich countries have in the world, something that
his kind of analysis is reluctant to recognise. The attack on welfare spending
today results from the chronic stagnation of most economies, ones that are just
about buoyed up by huge levels of debt, but which debt also calls time on the
previous status quo. Rather than recognise this, Tariq Ali bemoaned the
attacks on the welfare state and the ‘breach of the consensus’ that had
previously been achieved. So much for the analysis of an anti-capitalist who
sees unfavourable policies as a result of decisions that could be changed
within capitalism. I heard nothing from him to suggest that what he called
‘neoliberal’ policies could not be changed by a more enlightened policy under
capitalism.
The rich country welfare system
represents part of a deal/consensus that is now being broken by many
governments. Policies that are called ‘austerity’ have not been implemented
much in the richer countries, though they will be in the next couple of years.
However, the political reaction, especially in northern Europe, is often to
bolster reactionary nationalists that want to restore the status quo ante
against the ‘hordes’ of migrants and other unwelcome drains on the national
wealth and welfare that rightfully ‘belongs’ to the ‘legitimate’ recipients.
This is the basis of a reactionary trend in European politics today. While this
is exacerbated by the flows of migrants into Europe from the destruction of the
Middle East and North Africa, such events only harden the views of those in
Europe (and the US) whose states have done so much to cause the damage. It is
heartening to see the humanity of many people in Europe helping refugees,
especially in Germany. But the problem remains that the overwhelming majority
of the population in European countries takes a different view of the world and
their economic interests in it.
Tony Norfield, 20 February 2016
[1] For the
record, I will probably turn up and scribble something on the ballot paper.
Pointless, but amusing for me, at least.
Friday, 5 February 2016
Saving the Whale
In
recent weeks, a couple of dozen sperm whales have ended up on beaches in the
UK, Norway, France and Germany, when normally these huge animals spend their
time in the deep ocean, not in the relatively shallow North Sea. Marine
scientists are puzzled as to why this has occurred. Occasionally this happens,
but very rarely on this scale, and this is possibly the biggest instance for a
hundred years. As odd as it may seem, there might be a connection between the
unusual beaching of whales in several countries and military submarine
activity.
My
speculation on what has happened is based upon a comment made by one scientist
on a news programme that these whales might have ‘got lost’, or for some reason
went the wrong way. These whales use echolocation for hunting and for
communication, with signals sent at very low frequencies – for different
purposes at 0.5, 5 and 15 kHz. I would guess that the most likely cause of the
disorientation of the whales is due to an increase in military submarine activity!
Military
submarines often use similar frequency communication (usually below 20 or
30kHz). These signals could have led to the directional mistakes made by the
beached whales – they tend to travel in groups, so disorientating a few would
lead to more getting lost. Assuming that it would take the whales a while to
travel to the wrong location, this would suggest that over the past several
months there has been a big increase in submarine activity, something that
would turn a one-off blunder by a whale with squid indigestion into a major
event affecting many.
No
country will advertise its military surveillance operations, especially those
that need not be acknowledged when below the waves. One recent NATO report
argues that there has been an increase in Russian submarine activity, while
questions about the value of the UK’s Trident programme, based in Scotland,
could also have prompted the Royal Navy to increase theirs. So, if you really
want to save the whale, you have to be an anti-militarist too!
Tony
Norfield, 5 February 2016
Labels:
echolocation,
France,
Germany,
military,
NATO,
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Norway,
Russia,
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UK,
whale
Monday, 1 February 2016
Capitalism, Imperialism, Profit and Finance
The following notes are designed
to assist anyone who has tried to analyse developments in global capitalism.
Even if the reader has not, then the points made will highlight some issues
that should be borne in mind when examining what is written or discussed on
these topics.
1. Imperialism and world economy
Any attempt to understand things
from the perspective of a national economy is bound to fail. Even the US, the
world’s largest economy, can only be understood by looking at how it fits into the world
economy. For example, the US dollar is world money, not just the national
currency of the United States. Its importance and role depends upon the scope
of US power versus other countries, both in economic and political terms.
However, even the position of the dollar can be challenged by international
developments. It is not an unchanging hegemony; nor has it been in place for
all time. Signs that US power has limits are seen in the collapse of ‘The
Project for the New American Century’ in 2006 and the political shambles of US
policy in the Middle East and North Africa. However much destruction might be
in US interests from a tactical perspective, it is hardly a recipe for
continued hegemony.
Far less can the UK, France,
Germany, China, Iran, Turkey, Brazil, etc, etc, be understood unless their
positions in the world economy are taken into account. Their government and
corporate policy choices are decided with this in mind. Nevertheless, a key
point is that a small number of countries have a monopolistic position in the
delivery of most key goods and services and, of the 200 or so countries in the
world, there are only around 20 who count for anything in the hierarchy.
For this reason alone, Keynesian
economic theory is useless for an analysis of the world economy (see here for a fuller discussion). Quite apart from its
errors in understanding the profit-driven nature of capitalism, it focuses only
on flows of income, rather the origin of that income and, at most, allows only
for international trade balances. Almost always, a Keynesian approach is tied
into a nationalist outlook, something that underpins so many apparently radical
policies. ‘International’ Keynesianism might appear to be an exception to this,
but it is a utopian technocrat’s toolbox. The OECD, or G7 meetings, might
recommend changes in economic policy by different countries to benefit world
economic growth, but everything still comes down to whatever is in the
interests of the capitalist countries concerned.
2. Nationalism and imperialism
Attempting to ‘save’ the
national economy to make things better for its inhabitants, for example, by
calling for import controls or other forms of government regulation, is a
reactionary policy. Firstly, it endorses the existing power of the national
capitalist state to determine what will happen. Secondly, it raises national
salvation above solidarity with people in other countries who are facing
similar problems. This is particularly an issue for progressive people in the imperialist
countries that have a dominant position in the world economy. If radicals make
any concessions to those who are seeking to defend their privileges in a
bankrupt system, rather than to show how the system is indeed bankrupt and must
be overthrown, then they have only a short step from this to supporting
imperialist aggression. The records of many wars stand in evidence.
I would possibly make one
exception here. If, following a popular seizure of state power, that new
government enacts policies to defend itself, then it could be seen as a
legitimate, though temporary means of securing progressive gains. But if a
radical in a rich country calls for such measures, while not mentioning the
precondition of a popular seizure of state power before, then you know you have
found an apologist for imperialism.
3. The ‘real economy’, finance and profit
There are different kinds of
capitalist company and different ways in which they try to make a profit. All
profit, rent or interest derives from the surplus labour performed by workers,
but the process of capitalist market exchange hides this and makes it appear as
if ‘making money’ in business is simply a result of special talent or, perhaps,
luck, irrespective of the kind of business concerned. So, producing a good or
service as a commodity in the market, buying and selling these commodities,
being a real estate agent, lending money or dealing in foreign exchange, bonds
and equities can all look, from a capitalist market perspective, as much the same
kind of profit-making business. That view upsets common sense. So economists
have come up with the notion of a ‘real economy’ of making things versus the
rest of the economy, especially versus a ‘financial economy’. However, this
distinction ignores both how capitalism is not bothered about making anything
except profit and how all the major ‘real economy’ companies are heavily
involved in the financial sphere, from stock market takeovers to financial
dealings of all kinds.
The modern economy has a
pervasively financial form, and the key signals for what is profitable,
acceptable or viable to capitalism are transmitted through the financial
markets – as reflected in a company’s share price, or a company’s or
government’s ability to borrow money. This is basically a more developed form
of the traditional ‘laws of supply and demand’ for the commodities a company
might produce. It remains the case, nevertheless, that it is capitalist
production that produces the profit that is shared, in various ways, among the
different types of capitalist company.
Imperialism casts a new light on
this process too. Access to funding, access to markets, the ability to use
super-exploited labour, the ability to close off markets to competitors, or to
use the legal system to protect property and patents, are all special
privileges of the major countries, to which the weaker, poorer countries have
far less recourse. This affects the profits appropriated by capitalist
companies. If the analysis you read takes little or no account of it, you are
reading the work of an ignoramus or, more likely, an apologist for the
imperialist system.
4. Forms of profit and finance
In recent years, one area of my
research was capitalist profitability, the rate of profit, etc. The more I
looked into it, the trickier it got. Firstly, the available data do not
necessarily measure what they claim to measure. For example, if a company
registers a large profit, then that looks like what it has ‘made’, when the
reality is that its profit is what its market position has enabled it to
appropriate, perhaps by depending upon super-exploited labour from its
suppliers, or from a monopolistic position in the world economy defended by
patents and commercial laws. Secondly, even if these things were not a problem,
then there is still the important question of the different ways in which
different kinds of capitalist company generate their profits.
Marxist theory makes a big
distinction between capitalist companies in the industrial and commercial
sphere and those operating in finance. Ironically, government statistics do a
similar thing, although legions of mainstream economists do not. This
distinction is based upon the nature of the capitalist investment taking place.
The investment by industrial and commercial capitalist (ICC) companies is
different from financial investment.
ICC companies largely advance
their own money, or at least do not borrow much. This is shown in their low
borrowing ratios, with borrowing commonly well below the equity investment of
the capitalist owners. However, advancing capital in the financial sector is a
very different matter, one that has been poorly covered, or understood, by
Marxist writers (except, perhaps, for Suzanne de Brunhoff in her Marx on Money,
and one or two others).
Financial companies, such as insurance
funds, pension funds, asset managers, hedge funds, banks, etc, advance money
they are given by others. Banks also have an ability to create their own
assets, via the banking system, as another way to ‘advance’ capital. All of
this is a very different form of securing a profit than in the case of ICC
companies, despite the fact that all of them rely upon the surplus
labour performed by the working class.
For the financial companies, the
revenues they gain are commonly in the form of interest on loans made or bonds
purchased, or as dividends ‘earned’ from the equity securities they own, or as
rents from their investments in property assets. For Marxist analysis, this is
technically different from ICC profits earned – after paying interest, etc –
from the advance of capital by the owners of such corporations.
The distinction is most simply
seen by comparing the leverage of financial companies with ICC. Often, the
borrowing ratios of the former are more than twenty times higher than the
latter. As a result, with the same advance of the owners’ capital, the
amount actually invested/lent, etc, by a financial company can be dramatically
higher than for ICC investments. This is a practical expression of the fact
that the rate of interest, or such ‘financial’ returns, is not the same as the
rate of profit. They have very different roles in the capitalist system, as I
argue in my new book.
Any notion of financial
‘investment’ gets even more complex with financial derivatives. Here, what is
recorded in accounting practice as an ‘asset’ is simply a derivative with a
positive market value. If the derivative market price changes so that it is a
loss to the holder, then it becomes a liability.
What appear initially as clear
concepts of investment, and the rate of profit on that investment, are
complicated by the reality of modern finance. Just consider, for example, that
corporations quoted on the major stock exchanges pay most attention to their
‘return on equity’ or their ‘earnings per share’, rather than to a rate of
profit due on the invested capital. This is the case, even though the
capitalist system’s underlying rate of profit ultimately drives the ‘return on
equity’, etc.
5. Economic history
The subject of economic history
has more or less disappeared from academic prospectuses. However, it is an
indispensable for any understanding of the modern world. Luckily, there are
books still being produced that delve into archives and bring to light hidden
aspects of important past events, ones that usually contradict the standard
mythology, whether on the funding of the welfare state in rich countries, the
dealings between major powers or of the road to war and oppression. It may seem
perverse that the most enlightening critiques of imperialism can come from what
would appear to be mainstream or even conservative writers, at least the ones
with their wits about them who do not blindly accept what ‘everybody knows’. By
comparison, many radicals often just embellish the mythology with invented
stories of ‘struggle’ and ignore inconvenient facts, notably the chauvinism of
the masses in the major countries. Rather than a ‘struggle’ by the working
class for reforms, a story that appears to be anti-capitalist, often the
reality was instead that the ruling elites did a deal with the bureaucracy of
trade unions and popular political parties to secure a national consensus that
would support imperialism.
Tony Norfield, 1 February 2016
Monday, 25 January 2016
The City: London and the Global Power of Finance
My new book, The City: London
and the Global Power of Finance, will be published by Verso Books on 12
April 2016. Below I note reviews that it has received so far and give a
full list of the contents. Details for ordering the book, which will be
available both in hardback (price £20 or less) and as an ebook (around £14), are available on the Verso website
and on Amazon.
-----
“Tony Norfield has provided a
strikingly original take on the international financial system by placing it
systematically within the world imperialist structure of power. He rejects the currently
fashionable path of interpreting the ascent of finance by looking at how the
leading financial sector agents, operating by way of banks, hedge funds,
private equity firms, and the like, manipulate the political-economic game to
increase their own personal wealth, while downplaying any useful economic
functions they might be fulfilling. He insists, on the contrary, that finance
be understood as a form of power deriving from the economic-cum political
capacity to compete at the highest levels of global capitalism, which
simultaneously endows a limited group of countries and corporations
disproportionate access to the world s resources and operates as the system's
indispensable nerve center. Norfield's unusual clarity as both an analyst and
expositor is reflected in his ability to lay out for his readers an
easy-to-grasp introduction to how finance works today in the process of
offering a detailed historically-rooted account of the multiple hierarchies and
privileged relationships through which global economic domination is
constructed and reproduced. The City is a tour de force, which will soon be
recognized as a formidable challenge to conventional wisdom and an essential
contribution in its own right.”
Robert Brenner, author of The Economics of Global Turbulence
“This book does the seemingly impossible:
rendering finance's mysteries transparent to the average reader, and at the
same time delivering a penetrating analysis of the global economic system that
will enlighten even experts. Tony Norfield has written a truly exciting and
important book.”
Paul Mattick, author of Business
as Usual
"It is not every day you read a book about global finance by a banker who quotes Lenin approvingly on page two. Unlike many of those who produce Marxist critiques of financial capitalism, Norfield writes from a position of experience: he has worked in the belly of the beast, and the book is the better for it... Just after the financial crisis, Rolling Stone magazine called Goldman Sachs the “vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity”. In this book, Norfield extends the metaphor to call London the “vampire’s blood bank”. In The City, he has done the research and pulled together the financial statistics that explain how the bloodsucking works.”
Brooke Masters, Financial Times*
“The City is a valuable addition to the critical analysis of the financialisation of our world. And Tony Norfield is an experienced and radical guide to London's role in this process. This book should be required reading for both bankers and activists alike.”
Joris Luyendjik, author of Swimming
with Sharks: My Journey into the World of the Bankers
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Preface
Chapter 1 Britain, Finance and the World
Economy
World economic and financial
power
Britain’s invisible empire
Understanding finance and
imperialism
Insights, conspiracies and
policy contingencies
The ‘End of History’ revisited
History
wakes up
‘New
Deal’ and no deal
The system
Chapter 2 The Anglo-American System
British or American finance?
Anglo-American financial
relationships in transition
Building beyond the Empire
New York versus London
The Anglo-American euromarket
British capitalism, finance and
official policy
Eurobonds and London’s
international role
Historical logic
Chapter 3 Finance and the Major Powers
Regime change
British imperial strategy and
the pound
State policy on financial
markets from 1979
Finance and the major powers
Gravity and the global system
Chapter 4 Power and Parasitism
Money-capitalists and financial
institutions
Interest-bearing capital
Banks
Brokers
Asset managers
Insurance companies
Pension funds
Bank credit creation
Financial securities and
economic power
The flexible noose
Finance and the rule of capital
Financial parasitism
Global parasitism, investment,
trade and finance
Who reaps the returns?
Finance as a normal part of the
system
Chapter 5 The World Hierarchy
The premier league
Capitalism and the state
The state and finance
Monopoly and imperialism
Monopoly today
World projection of power
Chapter 6 Profit and Finance
Return on equity and leverage
Comparing profits
Financial assets and derivatives
Financial revenues, surplus
value and securities
Trading revenues
The rate of profit and capital’s
limits
Outcomes
Profits, financial and global
developments
Moribund capitalism
Chapter 7 The Imperial Web
Currency, trade and seigniorage
‘Exorbitant privilege’
Running the world banking
system: US dollar power
Financial services exports
Equity markets, financial power
and control
Carving up the market
The daily grind
Chapter 8 Inside the Machine
Number crunching
The surplus from City dealing
Global capitalism’s financial
broker
UK financial account: FDI,
portfolio flows and bank funding
UK assets, liabilities and
returns
The City’s global network, tax
havens and global finance
Nice work, if you can get it
Chapter 9 Eternal Interests, Temporary Allies
‘Open for business’
Economics and domestic politics
Islamic finance and the City
China, BRICS and the Anglo-American system
Finance and the rule of capital
List of Tables
3.1 UK, Germany, France – patterns of trade, 1980 and 90 (% of
total)
3.2 Financial market shares of major powers, 1980-2001 (% of
total)
5.1 Corporate control by controlling company, 2007
6.1 UK monetary financial institutions’ financial balance sheet
7.1 Financial services export revenues, 2000-2013
7.2 Equity market capitalisation and turnover, 2013
8.1 UK current account balance and components, 1987-2014
8.2 External positions of banks, end-2014
8.3 Foreign exchange turnover, 1995-2013
8.4 OTC interest rate derivatives turnover, April 2013
8.5 UK financial account net annual flows, 1987-2014
8.6 Net external position of UK MFIs by location
List of Charts
5.1 The global pecking order, 2013-2014
6.1 Leverage ratios of major international banks, 2007–2011
6.2 Leverage ratios of major UK banks, 1960-2010
6.3 US corporate rate of profit, 1948-2013
6.4 US Federal Reserve financial support stays in place
8.1 Key components of the UK current account, 1987-2014
8.2 UK net foreign investment stock position, 1989-2014
8.3 Returns on UK foreign investment assets and liabilities,
1990-2014
* note of the FT review was added on 8 May 2016
Labels:
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Friday, 22 January 2016
Oil Prices, Equities and Debt
Equity markets have begun 2016
with the biggest falls on record, while the price of a barrel of oil dropped
below $30. This is more than just a coincidence. The fall in oil prices results
from, and also exacerbates, the continued malaise in the world economy
At first sight, lower oil prices
should merely redistribute income from producers to consumers, via the lower of
cost of energy, transport, etc. What is such a disaster about that, at least
from the point of view of the world economy as a whole? One problem is the
different concentration of the losses and gains: a small number of producers
lose a lot, while many millions of consumers gain only a little. So news
headlines report cancelled investment projects and job losses, rather than the
motorist at the petrol station saving pennies on a litre of fuel. The negative
impact on producers, especially on their investment, could well outweigh the
demand that might result from consumers spending on other things. For example,
many huge investments in shale production that looked viable when a barrel of
oil was priced at $100 or above now look unprofitable – at least the loans
given to these companies now look poorly backed by their prospects.
What is often overlooked, even
by ‘Keynesian’ advocates of demand management, is that although consumer
spending is bigger than investment in the economy, the swings in investment
spending are much bigger than the percentage changes in consumption, and
usually lead the up and down cycles of demand. Furthermore, what such analysts always
overlook is that investment spending is basically driven by potential
profitability. But this should not be a surprise in a capitalist economy!
More importantly, all this takes
place in the context of continued, huge levels of debt compared to what the
economy produces. There has been a sharp rise in debt levels versus GDP between 2007, ‘pre-crisis’,
and 2014. This had occurred for almost all countries: poor countries such as
China saw the sharpest rises in debt ratios; but rich countries saw a further
increase from already elevated levels. This is the important context for the
apparent reaction of equity markets to the fall in oil prices. The underlying
problem is that debts cannot be paid back. It does not matter that the increase in debt in richer countries between 2007 and 2014 has largely been borne by the government, as the public sector took on private liabilities - all this means is that the pressure for austerity via cuts in government spending is all the greater. This casts doubt on the value
of the full range of financial securities. Those securities linked to oil and
gas prices now get hit directly because there is a clear focus of potential
loss that is visible every second of the financial trading day. But the myriad
of other equity securities issued by other financial, industrial and commercial
companies get caught up in the downward vortex. This is not only because money
capitalists work on the basis of what looks like giving the most attractive yield,
so a fall in energy-related security prices has a knock on effect on other,
non-energy-related securities too. More troubling is that there is clearly a
broader problem affecting the whole economy.
This problem of debt and
insufficient incentive to boost production overwhelms the otherwise mixed, plus
and minus economic outcome (mainly plus) that follows from lower oil prices. In
the oil market, refiners will be making more profit as the cost of their
feedstock falls with lower crude oil prices faster than will their output
prices of refined products. To some extent, this will insulate the integrated
oil corporations from the downturn. Airline and other travel companies will
also benefit from lower energy costs. So will China and Japan, major consumers
of oil, although their energy companies will suffer. Nevertheless, governments,
from Russia, Iran and Venezuela to Saudi Arabia, Norway and the UK will find
their oil and gas tax revenues falling. This has already led Saudi Arabia to
make very sharp cutbacks in its public spending to reduce a dramatically high
deficit, while other countries have seen a drop in their currency exchange
rates.
Table 1: Core Debt Levels of Non-Financial Sectors as a % of GDP, 2007 and 2014
Source: BIS, Quarterly Report, September 2015
Table 1: Core Debt Levels of Non-Financial Sectors as a % of GDP, 2007 and 2014
Source: BIS, Quarterly Report, September 2015
All of this might simply be a series of local difficulties offset by positive developments elsewhere. But, in the absence of any momentum to support profitable capitalist investment elsewhere, it results in continued capitalist stagnation and the promise of yet more government measures to prevent a collapse of their system.
Tony Norfield, 22 January 2016
Thursday, 14 January 2016
Jerusalem. No, the One in England
In another example of the English sense of humour, while the world is on fire, news has come that the British Parliament might debate whether England should be given its own national anthem. If so, it might displace at sporting and other local, national occasions, the nauseating, genuflecting dirge 'God Save the Queen'. A favoured option is William Blake's 'Jerusalem', a short poem published in 1808, and now used as a fake-nostalgic, patriotic, Methodism-not-socialism hymn of the beleaguered British Labour 'movement' (quotation marks indicating no real movement at all). As such, its chances of success are not negligible.
The words, although some of you may already know these by heart, are:
And did those feet in ancient time
Walk upon England’s mountains green?
And was the holy Lamb of God
On England’s pleasant pastures seen?
And did the countenance divine
Shine forth upon our clouded hills?
And was Jerusalem builded here
Among those dark satanic mills?
Bring me my bow of burning gold!
Bring me my arrows of desire!
Bring me my spear: o clouds unfold!
Bring me my chariots of fire!
I will not cease from mental fight;
Nor shall my sword sleep in my hand
Till we have built Jerusalem
In England’s green and pleasant land.
I will make no comment on whether, in the two centuries since the poem was published, England remains a 'green and pleasant land'. Opinions differ, and there are relative, not absolute issues to consider for a full evaluation, as labour movement management consultants will attest. However, a German comedian, Henning Wehn, has noted that this is a song with four opening questions, the answer to each of which is 'No'.
Tony Norfield, 14 January 2016
The words, although some of you may already know these by heart, are:
And did those feet in ancient time
Walk upon England’s mountains green?
And was the holy Lamb of God
On England’s pleasant pastures seen?
And did the countenance divine
Shine forth upon our clouded hills?
And was Jerusalem builded here
Among those dark satanic mills?
Bring me my bow of burning gold!
Bring me my arrows of desire!
Bring me my spear: o clouds unfold!
Bring me my chariots of fire!
I will not cease from mental fight;
Nor shall my sword sleep in my hand
Till we have built Jerusalem
In England’s green and pleasant land.
I will make no comment on whether, in the two centuries since the poem was published, England remains a 'green and pleasant land'. Opinions differ, and there are relative, not absolute issues to consider for a full evaluation, as labour movement management consultants will attest. However, a German comedian, Henning Wehn, has noted that this is a song with four opening questions, the answer to each of which is 'No'.
Tony Norfield, 14 January 2016
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